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Modelling a probabilistic safety management system for the Eastern-Scheldt storm-surge barrier, the basin and the surrounding dikes
Willems, A.; Webbers, P.B. (2003). Modelling a probabilistic safety management system for the Eastern-Scheldt storm-surge barrier, the basin and the surrounding dikes, in: Bedford, T. et al. (Ed.) Safety and Reliability: proceedings of the ESREL 2003 Conference, Maastricht, the Netherlands, 15-18 June 2003.
In: Bedford, T.; van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (Ed.) (2003). Safety and Reliability: proceedings of the ESREL 2003 Conference, Maastricht, the Netherlands, 15-18 June 2003. Taylor & Francis: [s.l.]. ISBN 9789058095510. 1824 pp., more
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Document type: Conference paper
Keywords
    Marine/Coastal; Brackish water
Authors  Top 
  • Willems, A.
  • Webbers, P.B.
Abstract
    The Dutch government wants to have a computer model that calculates the annual probability of flooding the area around the Eastern-Scheldt. This model should also be able to determine the impact of maintenance and control management of the Eastern-Scheldt storm-surge barrier and dikes surrounding the basin. In this paper an approach is presented to obtain a model of this so-called safety management system using the design tool IDEF0. The model consists of a deterministic description of the system and will be translated into annual probabilities using Monte Carlo (MC) simulation.
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