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Projecting coral reef futures under global warming and ocean acidification
Pandolfi, J.M.; Connolly, S.R.; Marshall, D.J.; Cohen, A.L. (2011). Projecting coral reef futures under global warming and ocean acidification. Science (Wash.) 333(6041): 418-422. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1204794
In: Science (Washington). American Association for the Advancement of Science: New York, N.Y. ISSN 0036-8075; e-ISSN 1095-9203, more
Peer reviewed article  

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Keywords
    Acidification
    Global warming
    Reefs > Biogenic deposits > Coral reefs
    Marine/Coastal

Authors  Top 
  • Pandolfi, J.M.
  • Connolly, S.R.
  • Marshall, D.J.
  • Cohen, A.L.

Abstract
    Many physiological responses in present-day coral reefs to climate change are interpreted as consistent with the imminent disappearance of modern reefs globally because of annual mass bleaching events, carbonate dissolution, and insufficient time for substantial evolutionary responses. Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest. Reducing uncertainty in projecting coral reef futures requires improved understanding of past responses to rapid climate change; physiological responses to interacting factors, such as temperature, acidification, and nutrients; and the costs and constraints imposed by acclimation and adaptation.

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