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Coastal flood risks and seasonal tourism: analyzing the effects of tourism dynamics on casualty calculations
Kellens, W.; Neutens, T.; Deckers, P.; Reyns, J.; De Maeyer, P. (2012). Coastal flood risks and seasonal tourism: analyzing the effects of tourism dynamics on casualty calculations. Nat. Hazards 60(3): 1211-1229. dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-011-9905-6
In: Natural Hazards. Springer: Dordrecht; London; Boston. ISSN 0921-030X, more
Peer reviewed article  

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Keywords
    Casualties; Coastal zone; Floods; GIS; Marine
Author keywords
    Flood risks; Overstromingsrisico's; Tourism dynamics; Tourist behaviour

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Abstract
    Since coastal tourism is one of the fastest growing sectors of tourism industry, coastal areas have become increasingly vulnerable in case of flooding. While in recent years a number of different methods have been put forward to map coastal flood risks, the implications of tourism dynamics for the assessment of human casualties has remained largely overlooked in these models. This chapter examines to what extent the ignorance of (residential) coastal tourism may bias the calculations of human casualties. To this end, a case study has been conducted on the Belgian coast. Both the dynamic nature of coastal tourism and the behaviour of residential tourists in storm surge scenarios are considered. The results of this study show that including tourism dynamics in flood risk management is justified and appropriate, depending on the tourist attractiveness of the flood-prone area and its temporal fluctuations.

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