| one publication added to basket [214512] | Storm surges: perspectives and options
In: Sustainability Science. Springer: Berlin. ISSN 1862-4065; e-ISSN 1862-4057, more
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| Keywords |
Surges > Surface water waves > Storm surges
Marine/Coastal |
| Author keywords |
Storm surge; North Sea; Storms; Localization; Scenario; Climate change |
| Abstract |
This review paper attempts to summarize the scattered and fragmented knowledge about past and possible future changing storm-surge statistics using the particularly well-studied case of the North Sea as an example. For this region, a complete and robust analysis methodology has been developed in recent years. This methodology is based on dynamical and statistical models. Using the concept of dynamical downscaling, development during recent decades, when sufficiently good and homogeneous weather data exist, has been “reconstructed,” and scenarios of possible future change are described. “Localization” allows estimation of changes at specific sites, e.g., harbors. As local water-level statistics depend not only on climate variations but also on local modifications of the local bathymetry, new options for adaptation emerge. For the case of Hamburg, an option for such future adaptations is discussed. |
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