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Designing a decision support model for the LNG market
Engelen, S.; Dullaert, W. (2010). Designing a decision support model for the LNG market. Transp. Plann. Technol. 33(8): 719-731. hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03081060.2010.527183
In: Transportation Planning and Technology. Taylor & Francis: New York; London. ISSN 0308-1060, more
Peer reviewed article  

Available in  Authors 

Author keywords
    LNG market, ship market modelling, industrial shipping, planning tool

Authors  Top 
  • Engelen, S.
  • Dullaert, W., more

Abstract
    As the Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) market is supply-driven and subject to long-term contracts, both liquefaction companies and shipowners need to make strategic decisions on fleet chartering requirements. These planning decisions become ever more difficult in light of the transformations permeating the LNG market, propelling into a more competitive market with more flexible trades and expanding spot markets. The overcapacity of LNG ships during 2008–2009 triggered by massive overcontracting is a good case in point where the use of decision support models would have been beneficial, especially considering the fortunes and risks at stake. In this paper we present an LNG shipping model that effectively supports decision-making in practice. To demonstrate the value added of the model, we study the implications of LNG project delays and increased decommissioning of ships with respect to market balance and fleet requirements.

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