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Temporal patterns of populations in a warming world: a modelling framework
Moenickes, S.; Frassl, M.; Schlief, J.; Kupisch, M.; Mutz, M.; Suhling, F.; Richter, O. (2012). Temporal patterns of populations in a warming world: a modelling framework. Mar. Biol. (Berl.) 159(11): 2605-2620. hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00227-012-1996-4
In: Marine Biology. Springer: Heidelberg; Berlin. ISSN 0025-3162, more
Peer reviewed article  

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Keyword
    Marine

Authors  Top 
  • Moenickes, S.
  • Frassl, M.
  • Schlief, J.
  • Kupisch, M.
  • Mutz, M.
  • Suhling, F.
  • Richter, O.

Abstract
    In this paper, we present an approach for describing the environmentally induced temporal pattern of structured populations by partial integro-differential equations. Populations are structured according to size or stage. Growth, energy allocation and stage transitions are affected by environmental conditions of which temperature, photoperiod, water depth and food supply were taken into account. The resulting modelling framework was applied to describe, analyse and predict alterations in populations with continuous development, populations with distinct state structures and interacting populations. Our exemplary applications consider populations of freshwater Amphipoda, Isopoda and Odonata. The model was capable of simulating life cycle alterations in dependence on temperature in interaction with other environmental factors: (1) population dynamics, (2) seasonal regulation, (3) water depth-dependent dispersal, (4) intraguild predation and (5) consumer-resource dynamics.

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