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Expert elicitation of population-level effects of disturbance
Fleishman, E.; Burgman, M.; Runge, M.C.; Schick, R.S.; Kraus, S. (2016). Expert elicitation of population-level effects of disturbance, in: Popper, A.N. et al. (Ed.) The effects of noise on aquatic life II. Advances in Experimental Medicine and Biology, 875: pp. 295-302. hdl.handle.net/10.1007/978-1-4939-2981-8_35
In: Popper, A.N.; Hawkins, A. (Ed.) (2016). The effects of noise on aquatic life II. Advances in Experimental Medicine and Biology, 875. Springer Science+Business Media, Inc: New York. ISBN 978-1-4939-2980-1. xxx, 1292 pp., more
In: Advances in Experimental Medicine and Biology. Springer: Berlin. ISSN 0065-2598, more
Peer reviewed article  

Available in Authors 

Keywords
    Health; Parameterization; Eubalaena glacialis (Müller, 1776) [WoRMS]; Marine
Author keywords
    Conceptual models; Decision-making; North Atlantic right whale

Authors  Top 
  • Fleishman, E.
  • Burgman, M.
  • Runge, M.C.
  • Schick, R.S.
  • Kraus, S.

Abstract
    Expert elicitation is a rigorous method for synthesizing expert knowledge to inform decision making and is reliable and practical when field data are limited. We evaluated the feasibility of applying expert elicitation to estimate population-level effects of disturbance on marine mammals. Diverse experts estimated parameters related to mortality and sublethal injury of North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis). We are now eliciting expert knowledge on the movement of right whales among geographic regions to parameterize a spatial model of health. Expert elicitation complements methods such as simulation models or extrapolations from other species, sometimes with greater accuracy and less uncertainty.

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