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The predictability of biological populations and communities: an example from the meiobenthos
Herman, P.M.J.; Heip, C.H.R. (1986). The predictability of biological populations and communities: an example from the meiobenthos, in: Heip, C.H.R. et al. (1987). Long-term changes in coastal benthic communities: proceedings of a symposium, held in Brussels, Belgium, December 9-12, 1985. Developments in Hydrobiology, 38: pp. 281-290
In: Heip, C.H.R.; Keegan, B.F.; Lewis, J.R. (1987). Long-term changes in coastal benthic communities: proceedings of a symposium, held in Brussels, Belgium, December 9-12, 1985. Reprinted from Hydrobiologia, vol. 142. Developments in Hydrobiology, 38. W. Junk Publishers: Dordrecht. ISBN 90-6193-637-3. XV1, 340 pp., more
In: Dumont, H.J. (Ed.) Developments in Hydrobiology. Kluwer Academic/Springer: Den Haag. ISSN 0167-8418, more

Also published as
  • Herman, P.M.J.; Heip, C.H.R. (1986). The predictability of biological populations and communities: an example from the meiobenthos. Hydrobiologia 142: 281-290, more
  • Herman, P.M.J.; Heip, C.H.R. (1987). The predictability of biological populations and communities: an example from the meiobenthos, in: (1987). IZWO Coll. Rep. 17(1987). IZWO Collected Reprints, 17: pp. chapter 5, more

Available in Authors 
  • VLIZ: Proceedings D [63393]
  • VLIZ: Open Repository 156641 [ OMA ]

Keywords
    Meiobenthos; Monitoring; Prediction; Time series; Copepoda [WoRMS]; Marine

Authors  Top 
  • Herman, P.M.J., more
  • Heip, C.H.R., more

Abstract
    The predictability of temporal changes was analysed in the population density of three meiobenthic copepod species, and for three parameters characterizing this community. For Paranychocamptus nanus and Tachidius discipes a large part of the variation in time scales longer than 1 year is explainable as cyclic factors. In P. nanus clear cycles with periods of 2 years and 1.5 years were found. These cyclic factors can be extrapolated for prediction. In Canuella perplexa almost all the variation was due to unpredictable long-term drift. Community parameters are generally better predicted than population densities. In our data set total density of the copepods was the best parameter to monitor. Monitoring does not necessitate a strict sampling scheme; irregular quarterly sampling from the P. nanus series showed that the essential features of the series were still discernible.

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