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The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems
Burrows, M.T.; Schoeman, D.S.; Buckley, L.B.; Moore, P.; Poloczanska, E.S.; Brander, K.M.; Brown, C.M; Bruno, J.F.; Duarte, C.M.; Halpern, B.S.; Holding, J.; Kappel, C.V.; Kiessling, W.; O'Connor, M.I.; Pandolfi, J.M.; Parmesan, C.; Schwing, F.B.; Sydeman, W.J.; Richardson, A.J. (2011). The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems. Science (Wash.) 334(6056): 652-655
In: Science (Washington). American Association for the Advancement of Science: Washington DC. ISSN 0036-8075, more
Peer reviewed article

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Keyword
    Marine

Authors  Top 
  • Burrows, M.T.
  • Schoeman, D.S., editor
  • Buckley, L.B.
  • Moore, P.
  • Poloczanska, E.S.
  • Brander, K.M.
  • Brown, C.M
  • Bruno, J.F.
  • Duarte, C.M., more
  • Halpern, B.S.
  • Holding, J.
  • Kappel, C.V.
  • Kiessling, W.
  • O'Connor, M.I.
  • Pandolfi, J.M.
  • Parmesan, C.
  • Schwing, F.B.
  • Sydeman, W.J.
  • Richardson, A.J., more

Abstract
    Climate change challenges organisms to adapt or move to track changes in environments in space and time. We used two measures of thermal shifts from analyses of global temperatures over the past 50 years to describe the pace of climate change that species should track: the velocity of climate change (geographic shifts of isotherms over time) and the shift in seasonal timing of temperatures. Both measures are higher in the ocean than on land at some latitudes, despite slower ocean warming. These indices give a complex mosaic of predicted range shifts and phenology changes that deviate from simple poleward migration and earlier springs or later falls. They also emphasize potential conservation concerns, because areas of high marine biodiversity often have greater velocities of climate change and seasonal shifts.

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