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SS-DBEM ensemble projections of 17 North Atlantic fish species under IPCC AR6 RCP 8.5 climate and MSY fishing scenario
Citable as data publication
Anabitarte, A.; Granado, I.; Valle, M.; Erauskin-Extramiana, M.; Fernandes-Salvador, J.A.; AZTI, Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA): Spain; (2026): SS-DBEM ensemble projections of 17 North Atlantic fish species under IPCC AR6 RCP 8.5 climate and MSY fishing scenario. Marine Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.14284/813
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This dataset is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.Description
Climate change is reshaping ocean environmental conditions—altering temperature, oxygen levels, acidity, and primary production—which in turn affects the growth, distribution, and abundance of marine species, including those targeted by fisheries. Future predictions of fish distributions and catches models are available, but many do not provide ensembles to account for uncertainty in environmental projections. Furthermore, these environmental projections from biogeochemical models are regularly updated with revision of climate scenarios. moreThe SS-DBEM model is a multi-species model that combines a species-based model (DBEM) with a size-spectrum approach (SS) to project spatially (0.5°×0.5°) and temporally (yearly) resolved changes in marine fish species biomass. It incorporates key ecological processes alongside a competition algorithm that allocates energy resources among co-occurring species using ocean environmental conditions from biogeochemical models. The product was created by determining projections for seventeen species under RCP8.5, biogeochemical ensemble model and FMSY (Fishing Maximum Sustainable Yield). Ensemble change fields were winsorized to limit extreme outliers and transformed using a signed log (log1p) to accommodate negative and zero values. Spatial patterns were then smoothed using a 15x15 cell moving average (terra::focal) to reduce grid-scale noise while preserving large-scale trends. Lineage
Methods and procedures are described in: https://github.com/EMODnet/EMODnet-Biology-multi-species-ecosystem-model-SS-DBEM Scope Themes: Biology > Fish Keywords: Bio-geographical regions · Biota · Coordinate reference systems · Data not evaluated · Geoscientific Information · Metadata not evaluated · NetCDF (Network Common Data Form) · No limitations to public access · Oceans · Regional · Sea regions · WGS84 (EPSG:4326) · Baltic Sea · North Atlantic Ocean · North Sea · Clupea harengus Linnaeus, 1758 · Engraulis encrasicolus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Gadus morhua Linnaeus, 1758 · Illex argentinus (Castellanos, 1960) · Katsuwonus pelamis (Linnaeus, 1758) · Mallotus villosus (Müller, 1776) · Melanogrammus aeglefinus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Merluccius merluccius (Linnaeus, 1758) · Micromesistius poutassou (Risso, 1827) · Sardina pilchardus (Walbaum, 1792) · Scomber scombrus Linnaeus, 1758 · Sprattus sprattus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Thunnus alalunga (Bonnaterre, 1788) · Thunnus albacares (Bonnaterre, 1788) · Thunnus obesus (Lowe, 1839) · Thunnus thynnus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Trachurus trachurus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Trichiurus lepturus Linnaeus, 1758 Geographical coverage Baltic Sea [Marine Regions] North Atlantic Ocean [Marine Regions] North Sea [Marine Regions] Temporal coverage
2030 - 2100 Taxonomic coverage
Clupea harengus Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Engraulis encrasicolus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Gadus morhua Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Illex argentinus (Castellanos, 1960) [WoRMS]
Katsuwonus pelamis (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Mallotus villosus (Müller, 1776) [WoRMS]
Melanogrammus aeglefinus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Merluccius merluccius (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Micromesistius poutassou (Risso, 1827) [WoRMS]
Sardina pilchardus (Walbaum, 1792) [WoRMS]
Scomber scombrus Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Sprattus sprattus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Thunnus alalunga (Bonnaterre, 1788) [WoRMS]
Thunnus albacares (Bonnaterre, 1788) [WoRMS]
Thunnus obesus (Lowe, 1839) [WoRMS]
Thunnus thynnus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Trachurus trachurus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Trichiurus lepturus Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Parameter
Biomass relative change Contributors
AZTI, Marine Research; Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA) (AZTI), more, data creator
Publication
Used in this dataset
Fernandes, J.A. et al. (2013). Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: Accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model. Glob. Chang. Biol. 19(8): 2596-2607. https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12231, more
URLs
Dataset information: Other: Dataset status: Completed
Data type: Data products
Data origin: Numerical calculations / models
Release date: 2026-08-21
Metadatarecord created: 2026-06-30
Information last updated: 2026-08-24
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