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SS-DBEM ensemble projections of 17 North Atlantic fish species under IPCC AR6 RCP 8.5 climate and MSY fishing scenario
Citeerbaar als data publicatie
Anabitarte, A.; Granado, I.; Valle, M.; Erauskin-Extramiana, M.; Fernandes-Salvador, J.A.; AZTI, Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA): Spain; (2026): SS-DBEM ensemble projections of 17 North Atlantic fish species under IPCC AR6 RCP 8.5 climate and MSY fishing scenario. Marine Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.14284/813
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Toegang tot data
Beschikbaarheid: Creative Commons License Deze dataset valt onder een Creative Commons Naamsvermelding 4.0 Internationaal-licentie.

Beschrijving

Climate change is reshaping ocean environmental conditions—altering temperature, oxygen levels, acidity, and primary production—which in turn affects the growth, distribution, and abundance of marine species, including those targeted by fisheries.  Future predictions of fish distributions and catches models are available, but many do not provide ensembles to account for uncertainty in environmental projections. Furthermore, these environmental projections from biogeochemical models are regularly updated with revision of climate scenarios. 

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The SS-DBEM model is a multi-species model that combines a species-based model (DBEM) with a size-spectrum approach (SS) to project spatially (0.5°×0.5°) and temporally (yearly) resolved changes in marine fish species biomass. It incorporates key ecological processes alongside a competition algorithm that allocates energy resources among co-occurring species using ocean environmental conditions from biogeochemical models. The product was created by determining projections for seventeen species under RCP8.5, biogeochemical ensemble model and FMSY (Fishing Maximum Sustainable Yield). Ensemble change fields were winsorized to limit extreme outliers and transformed using a signed log (log1p) to accommodate negative and zero values. Spatial patterns were then smoothed using a 15x15 cell moving average (terra::focal) to reduce grid-scale noise while preserving large-scale trends.


Afstamming
Methods and procedures are described in: https://github.com/EMODnet/EMODnet-Biology-multi-species-ecosystem-model-SS-DBEM

Scope
Thema's:
Biologie > Vis
Kernwoorden:
Biogeografische gebieden · Biota · Data niet gecontroleerd · Geen beperkingen op publieke toegang · Geowetenschappelijke informatie · Metadata niet gecontroleerd · NetCDF (Network Common Data Form) · Oceanen · Regionaal · Systemen voor verwijzing door middel van coördinaten · WGS84 (EPSG:4326) · Zeegebieden · Baltic Sea · Noordzee · North Atlantic Ocean · Clupea harengus Linnaeus, 1758 · Engraulis encrasicolus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Gadus morhua Linnaeus, 1758 · Illex argentinus (Castellanos, 1960) · Katsuwonus pelamis (Linnaeus, 1758) · Mallotus villosus (Müller, 1776) · Melanogrammus aeglefinus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Merluccius merluccius (Linnaeus, 1758) · Micromesistius poutassou (Risso, 1827) · Sardina pilchardus (Walbaum, 1792) · Scomber scombrus Linnaeus, 1758 · Sprattus sprattus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Thunnus alalunga (Bonnaterre, 1788) · Thunnus albacares (Bonnaterre, 1788) · Thunnus obesus (Lowe, 1839) · Thunnus thynnus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Trachurus trachurus (Linnaeus, 1758) · Trichiurus lepturus Linnaeus, 1758

Geografische spreiding
Baltic Sea [Marine Regions]
Noordzee [Marine Regions]
North Atlantic Ocean [Marine Regions]

Spreiding in de tijd
2030 - 2100

Taxonomic coverage
Clupea harengus Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Engraulis encrasicolus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Gadus morhua Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Illex argentinus (Castellanos, 1960) [WoRMS]
Katsuwonus pelamis (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Mallotus villosus (Müller, 1776) [WoRMS]
Melanogrammus aeglefinus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Merluccius merluccius (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Micromesistius poutassou (Risso, 1827) [WoRMS]
Sardina pilchardus (Walbaum, 1792) [WoRMS]
Scomber scombrus Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]
Sprattus sprattus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Thunnus alalunga (Bonnaterre, 1788) [WoRMS]
Thunnus albacares (Bonnaterre, 1788) [WoRMS]
Thunnus obesus (Lowe, 1839) [WoRMS]
Thunnus thynnus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Trachurus trachurus (Linnaeus, 1758) [WoRMS]
Trichiurus lepturus Linnaeus, 1758 [WoRMS]

Parameter
Biomass relative change

Bijdrage door
AZTI, Marine Research; Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA) (AZTI), meerdata creator

Publicatie
Gebruikt in deze dataset
Fernandes, J.A. et al. (2013). Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: Accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model. Glob. Chang. Biol. 19(8): 2596-2607. https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12231, meer


Dataset status: Afgelopen
Data type: Dataproducten
Data oorsprong: Numerieke berekeningen / modellen
Datum van vrijgave: 2026-08-21
Metadatarecord aangemaakt: 2026-06-30
Informatie laatst gewijzigd: 2026-08-24
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